Andy Krieger's Thoughts on the Market
Actionable analysis from one of the most legendary traders in history.
Market Update
January 14, 2026 In my write-up earlier this week I noted that the S&P500 looked increasingly vulnerable to a 3% sell-off. The successive moves to new all-time highs had no energy, and the market frankly looked tired. Compared to the explosive moves in silver (see below) and copper,
Investor Report: Global Market Outlook Amid the Reshaping of U.S. Foreign Policy
January 11, 2026 Thoughts on the Market The global macro landscape has entered a period of profound structural disruption. Over the past year, the United States—under the direction of President Trump and guided heavily by the worldview of senior advisor Stephen Miller—has abandoned the post‑World War II
2025–2026 MACRO OUTLOOK AND MARKET FRAMEWORK
Thoughts on the Market December 22, 2025 A Comprehensive Review of 2025 and a Forward‑Looking Analysis of 2026 Risks, Regime Shifts, and Bubble Dynamics I. 2025: YEAR IN REVIEW 2025 was a year defined by violent macro shocks and euphoric micro narratives -- a combination that produced one of
Powell Is the Master of Clever – but Deceptive -- “Fedspeak”
Thoughts on the Market December 15, 2025 Jerome Powell is a very clever man who has mastered the art of “Fed-speak” – using statistically accurate information to completely mislead and deceive his audience. Powell’s “one‑time effect” line is a statistical sleight of hand that is technically true for the
