Andy Krieger's Thoughts on the Market
Actionable analysis from one of the most legendary traders in history.
The U.S.–Japan Yen Intervention, the 1998 Precedent, and Dalio's Debt Death-Spiral Warning: A Deeper Dive into Currency Intervention, Carry-Trade Risk, and Sovereign-Debt Sustainability
Thoughts on the Market, by Andy Krieger August 10, 2026; Market Commentary & Investor Notes For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. See disclosures on the final page. Executive Summary ● On July 30–31, 2026, Japan's Ministry of Finance and the U.S. Treasury conducted their first coordinated
There’s A Convergence of Early Warning Signals: Time To Be Extra Careful
Thoughts On the Market, by Andy Krieger August 2, 2026 Last week was one-for-the-books on many levels. It is rare to have multiple significant geopolitical and macroeconomic events all occurring at once, but last week was absolutely action-packed with major developments. The new Fed Chairman, Kevin
A Portfolio Risk Thought Experiment
Thoughts on the Market by Andy Krieger July 27, 2026 Prepared as a hypothetical scenario analysis for portfolio risk framing purposes. Not investment advice — see disclaimers at the end. Market-cap and capex figures reflect data available as of late July 2026 and these figures will invariably shift. 1. Executive
Market Insights
Forming and Refining Trade Ideas – Revisiting the Aussie Kiwi Trade
Thoughts on the Market by Andy Krieger July 20, 2026 On May 28, 2026, about six weeks ago, I sent out a special report recommending a short position in the Australian dollar versus the New Zealand dollar. The currency pair was trading at 1.2080 that day, having reversed from
